Polymarket·Trump
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Current top probability
100%
Kevin Warsh
All outcomes
- Kevin Warsh>99%
- Judy Shelton<1%
- Michelle Bowman<1%
- Kevin Hassett<1%
- Christopher Waller<1%
- Jerome Powell<1%
- Stephen Miran<1%
- Scott Bessent<1%
- Rick Reider<1%
- Other<1%
- Person B<1%
- Person C<1%
- Person D<1%
- Person E<1%
- Person F<1%
- Person G<1%
- Person H<1%
- Person I<1%
- Person J<1%
- Person K<1%
- Person L<1%
- Person M<1%
- Person N<1%
- Person O<1%
- Person P<1%
- Person Q<1%
- Person R<1%
- Person S<1%
- Person T<1%
- Person U<1%
- Person V<1%
- Person W<1%
- Person X<1%
- Person Y<1%
- Person Z<1%
About this market
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.