Polymarket·Soccer
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Current top probability
18%
France
All outcomes
- France18%
- Spain17%
- England11%
- Brazil9%
- Portugal9%
- Argentina8%
- Germany5%
- Netherlands3%
- Norway2%
- Belgium2%
- Japan2%
- Colombia2%
- Morocco2%
- USA1%
- Switzerland1%
- Uruguay1%
- Mexico1%
- Croatia<1%
- Ecuador<1%
- Senegal<1%
- Turkiye<1%
- Austria<1%
- Sweden<1%
- Canada<1%
- South Korea<1%
- Paraguay<1%
- Scotland<1%
- Ivory Coast<1%
- Egypt<1%
- Ghana<1%
- Algeria<1%
- Bosnia-Herzegovina<1%
- Czechia<1%
- Australia<1%
- New Zealand<1%
- Haiti<1%
- Jordan<1%
- Curaçao<1%
- Iran<1%
- Tunisia<1%
- Uzbekistan<1%
- Panama<1%
- Iraq<1%
- South Africa<1%
- Congo DR<1%
- Cape Verde<1%
- Qatar<1%
- Saudi Arabia<1%
- Team AM<1%
- Italy<1%
- Team AI<1%
- Peru<1%
- Other<1%
- Team AG<1%
- Team AH<1%
- Team AL<1%
- Team AN<1%
- Team AJ<1%
- Team AK<1%
- Team AO<1%
About this market
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.