May 5, 2026Edition № 35
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Polymarket·Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Current top probability

49%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

All outcomes

  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
    49%
  • J.D. Vance
    39%
  • Marco Rubio
    21%
  • Tucker Carlson
    6%
  • Donald Trump Jr.
    3%
  • Ron DeSantis
    2%
  • Donald Trump
    2%
  • Glenn Youngkin
    2%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy
    1%
  • Thomas Massie
    1%
  • Rand Paul
    1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard
    1%
  • Ivanka Trump
    1%
  • Ted Cruz
    1%
  • Elon Musk
    1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene
    <1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
    <1%
  • Nikki Haley
    <1%
  • Greg Abbott
    <1%
  • Brian Kemp
    <1%
  • Elise Stefanik
    <1%
  • Josh Hawley
    <1%
  • John Thune
    <1%
  • Kim Kardashian
    <1%
  • Matt Gaetz
    <1%
  • Eric Trump
    <1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders
    <1%
  • Katie Britt
    <1%
  • Tom Brady
    <1%
  • Steve Bannon
    <1%
  • Pete Hegseth
    <1%
  • Byron Donalds
    <1%
  • Erika Kirk
    <1%
  • Kristi Noem
    <1%
  • Joe Kent
    <1%
  • Mike Pence
    <1%
  • Person AN
    <1%
  • Person CX
    <1%
  • Person P
    <1%
  • Person AC
    <1%
  • Person AY
    <1%
  • Person CZ
    <1%
  • Person AD
    <1%
  • Person T
    <1%
  • Person AG
    <1%
  • Person BM
    <1%
  • Person CG
    <1%
  • Person BD
    <1%
  • Person BZ
    <1%
  • Person CH
    <1%
  • Person BE
    <1%
  • Person CA
    <1%
  • Person AL
    <1%
  • Person CL
    <1%
  • Person Z
    <1%
  • Person N
    <1%
  • Person CM
    <1%
  • Person AO
    <1%
  • Person AX
    <1%
  • Person CY
    <1%
  • Person BU
    <1%
  • Person AZ
    <1%
  • Person CR
    <1%
  • Person AS
    <1%
  • Person AU
    <1%
  • Person CK
    <1%
  • Person BF
    <1%
  • Person BQ
    <1%
  • Person AM
    <1%
  • Person CC
    <1%
  • Person CW
    <1%
  • Person CN
    <1%
  • Person BW
    <1%
  • Person CQ
    <1%
  • Person O
    <1%
  • Person CD
    <1%
  • Person Q
    <1%
  • Person BJ
    <1%
  • Person R
    <1%
  • Person BV
    <1%
  • Person S
    <1%
  • Person AF
    <1%
  • Person BA
    <1%
  • Person U
    <1%
  • Person AH
    <1%
  • Person BY
    <1%
  • Person V
    <1%
  • Person AI
    <1%
  • Person CU
    <1%
  • Person W
    <1%
  • Person BO
    <1%
  • Person CI
    <1%
  • Person X
    <1%
  • Person AK
    <1%
  • Person BP
    <1%
  • Person Y
    <1%
  • Person CB
    <1%
  • Person CV
    <1%
  • Person AA
    <1%
  • Person AW
    <1%
  • Person BS
    <1%
  • Person AB
    <1%
  • Person BI
    <1%
  • Person BT
    <1%
  • Person AE
    <1%
  • Person AJ
    <1%
  • Person AP
    <1%
  • Person BK
    <1%
  • Person AQ
    <1%
  • Person CF
    <1%
  • Other
    <1%
  • Person AR
    <1%
  • Person BC
    <1%
  • Person CT
    <1%
  • Person AT
    <1%
  • Person CJ
    <1%
  • Person AV
    <1%
  • Person BB
    <1%
  • Person CS
    <1%
  • Person BG
    <1%
  • Person BR
    <1%
  • Person BH
    <1%
  • Person BL
    <1%
  • Person BX
    <1%
  • Person BN
    <1%
  • Person CE
    <1%
  • Person CP
    <1%
  • Person CO
    <1%

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%8:55 AM12:11 PM
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. probability over 4 snapshots+0.0pp

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.