Polymarket·World Elections
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Current top probability
26%
Gavin Newsom
All outcomes
- Gavin Newsom26%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%
- Kamala Harris8%
- Jon Ossoff7%
- Pete Buttigieg5%
- Josh Shapiro5%
- Andy Beshear3%
- Mark Kelly3%
- Jon Stewart2%
- Ro Khanna2%
- Rahm Emanuel2%
- J.B. Pritzker2%
- James Talarico2%
- Gretchen Whitmer1%
- Wes Moore1%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Stephen A. Smith1%
- Michelle Obama1%
- Cory Booker<1%
- John Fetterman<1%
- Mark Cuban<1%
- Chelsea Clinton<1%
- Roy Cooper<1%
- Raphael Warnock<1%
- Barack Obama<1%
- Liz Cheney<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Ruben Gallego<1%
- Jared Polis<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- MrBeast<1%
- Chris Murphy<1%
- Oprah Winfrey<1%
- Gina Raimondo<1%
- George Clooney<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- Beto O’Rourke<1%
- Andrew Yang<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Phil Murphy<1%
- Hunter Biden<1%
- Hillary Clinton<1%
- Bernie Sanders<1%
- Jasmine Crockett<1%
- Person P<1%
- Person S<1%
- Person AB<1%
- Person BE<1%
- Person BJ<1%
- Person CB<1%
- Person CM<1%
- Other<1%
- Person T<1%
- Person AP<1%
- Person BZ<1%
- Person CE<1%
- Person U<1%
- Person AQ<1%
- Person BV<1%
- Person CF<1%
- Person AL<1%
- Person BH<1%
- Person BO<1%
- Person Z<1%
- Person AK<1%
- Person BP<1%
- Person AX<1%
- Person BR<1%
- Person AD<1%
- Person AO<1%
- Person CD<1%
- Person CO<1%
- Person AC<1%
- Person CN<1%
- Person AE<1%
- Person BX<1%
- Person CP<1%
- Person AJ<1%
- Person BL<1%
- Person BM<1%
- Person W<1%
- Person AS<1%
- Person BF<1%
- Person BN<1%
- Person CH<1%
- Person CI<1%
- Person AV<1%
- Person CK<1%
- Person AA<1%
- Person CL<1%
- Person AF<1%
- Person AW<1%
- Person BC<1%
- Person CQ<1%
- Person AI<1%
- Person BY<1%
- Person O<1%
- Person BD<1%
- Person BG<1%
- Person BW<1%
- Person CA<1%
- Person V<1%
- Person AR<1%
- Person CG<1%
- Person R<1%
- Person X<1%
- Person AT<1%
- Person CC<1%
- Person Y<1%
- Person AU<1%
- Person CJ<1%
- Person AG<1%
- Person CR<1%
- Person AH<1%
- Person BA<1%
- Person BU<1%
- Person CS<1%
- Person AM<1%
- Person AZ<1%
- Person BI<1%
- Person BT<1%
- Person AN<1%
- Person AY<1%
- Person BS<1%
- Person Q<1%
- Person BB<1%
- Person BK<1%
- Person BQ<1%
Probability over time
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.