May 5, 2026Edition № 35
Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 17%$6.6MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketIran closes its airspace by...?44%$2.9MPolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 202826%$2.2MPolymarketBitcoin above ___ on May 5?>99%$2.0MPolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849%$1.9MPolymarket2026 NBA Champion60%$1.8MPolymarketNext French Presidential Election24%$1.8MPolymarketEurovision Winner 202635%$1.7MPolymarketElon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?91%$1.6MPolymarketWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?>99%$1.4MPolymarketLakers vs. Thunder68%$1.3MPolymarketUS x Iran permanent peace deal by...?63%$1.2MPolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?70%$1.2MPolymarketLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs>99%$1.1MPolymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 17%$6.6MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketIran closes its airspace by...?44%$2.9MPolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 202826%$2.2MPolymarketBitcoin above ___ on May 5?>99%$2.0MPolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849%$1.9MPolymarket2026 NBA Champion60%$1.8MPolymarketNext French Presidential Election24%$1.8MPolymarketEurovision Winner 202635%$1.7MPolymarketElon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?91%$1.6MPolymarketWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?>99%$1.4MPolymarketLakers vs. Thunder68%$1.3MPolymarketUS x Iran permanent peace deal by...?63%$1.2MPolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?70%$1.2MPolymarketLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs>99%$1.1M
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Polymarket·AI

Largest Company end of June?

Current top probability

71%

NVIDIA

All outcomes

  • NVIDIA
    71%
  • Alphabet
    28%
  • Apple
    2%
  • Tesla
    <1%
  • Amazon
    <1%
  • Microsoft
    <1%
  • Saudi Aramco
    <1%
  • Company B
    <1%
  • Company D
    <1%
  • Company F
    <1%
  • Company H
    <1%
  • Company J
    <1%
  • Company L
    <1%
  • Company N
    <1%
  • Company P
    <1%
  • Company R
    <1%
  • Company T
    <1%
  • Company A
    <1%
  • Company C
    <1%
  • Company E
    <1%
  • Company G
    <1%
  • Company I
    <1%
  • Company K
    <1%
  • Company M
    <1%
  • Company O
    <1%
  • Company Q
    <1%
  • Company S
    <1%
  • Other
    <1%

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%8:55 AM12:11 PM
NVIDIA probability over 4 snapshots+1.0pp

About this market

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.