Polymarket·Elections
California Governor Election Winner
Current top probability
39%
Xavier Becerra
All outcomes
- Xavier Becerra39%
- Tom Steyer39%
- Steve Hilton9%
- Matt Mahan4%
- Katie Porter2%
- Chad Bianco2%
- Elaine Culotti<1%
- Stephen Cloobeck<1%
- Betty Yee<1%
- Kyle Langford<1%
- Eleni Kounalakis<1%
- Leo Zacky<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
- Toni Atkins<1%
- Michael Younger<1%
- Nicole Shanahan<1%
- Kamala Harris<1%
- Rick Caruso<1%
- Tony Thurmond<1%
- Eric Swalwell<1%
- Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
- Butch Ware<1%
- Daniel Mercuri<1%
- Option G<1%
- Option I<1%
- Option K<1%
- Option M<1%
- Option O<1%
- Option Q<1%
- Option S<1%
- Option U<1%
- Option W<1%
- Option Y<1%
- Other<1%
- Option F<1%
- Option H<1%
- Option J<1%
- Option L<1%
- Option N<1%
- Option P<1%
- Option R<1%
- Option T<1%
- Option V<1%
- Option X<1%
- Option Z<1%
Probability over time
About this market
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.