May 5, 2026Edition № 35
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Polymarket·Elections

California Governor Election Winner

Current top probability

39%

Xavier Becerra

All outcomes

  • Xavier Becerra
    39%
  • Tom Steyer
    39%
  • Steve Hilton
    9%
  • Matt Mahan
    4%
  • Katie Porter
    2%
  • Chad Bianco
    2%
  • Elaine Culotti
    <1%
  • Stephen Cloobeck
    <1%
  • Betty Yee
    <1%
  • Kyle Langford
    <1%
  • Eleni Kounalakis
    <1%
  • Leo Zacky
    <1%
  • Alex Padilla
    <1%
  • Toni Atkins
    <1%
  • Michael Younger
    <1%
  • Nicole Shanahan
    <1%
  • Kamala Harris
    <1%
  • Rick Caruso
    <1%
  • Tony Thurmond
    <1%
  • Eric Swalwell
    <1%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa
    <1%
  • Butch Ware
    <1%
  • Daniel Mercuri
    <1%
  • Option G
    <1%
  • Option I
    <1%
  • Option K
    <1%
  • Option M
    <1%
  • Option O
    <1%
  • Option Q
    <1%
  • Option S
    <1%
  • Option U
    <1%
  • Option W
    <1%
  • Option Y
    <1%
  • Other
    <1%
  • Option F
    <1%
  • Option H
    <1%
  • Option J
    <1%
  • Option L
    <1%
  • Option N
    <1%
  • Option P
    <1%
  • Option R
    <1%
  • Option T
    <1%
  • Option V
    <1%
  • Option X
    <1%
  • Option Z
    <1%

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%8:55 AM12:11 PM
Xavier Becerra probability over 4 snapshots+0.0pp

About this market

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.