May 5, 2026Edition № 35
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Kalshi·Elections

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Current top probability

19%

J.D. Vance

All outcomes

  • J.D. Vance
    19%
  • Gavin Newsom
    18%
  • Marco Rubio
    16%
  • Jon Ossoff
    7%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    6%
  • Kamala Harris
    5%
  • Andy Beshear
    4%
  • Josh Shapiro
    3%
  • Pete Buttigieg
    3%
  • Donald J. Trump
    3%
  • Mark Kelly
    3%
  • J.B. Pritzker
    2%
  • Ron DeSantis
    2%
  • Tucker Carlson
    2%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.
    2%
  • Wes Moore
    1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer
    <1%
  • Glenn Youngkin
    <1%
  • Jamie Dimon
    <1%
  • Stephen A. Smith
    <1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard
    <1%
  • Nikki Haley
    <1%
  • Greg Abbott
    <1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy
    <1%
  • Tim Walz
    <1%

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%8:55 AM12:11 PM
J.D. Vance probability over 4 snapshots+0.0pp

About this market

In 2028