Polymarket·World Elections
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Current top probability
21%
JD Vance
All outcomes
- JD Vance21%
- Gavin Newsom17%
- Marco Rubio10%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6%
- Kamala Harris5%
- Jon Ossoff4%
- Tucker Carlson3%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Donald Trump3%
- Pete Buttigieg2%
- Andy Beshear2%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
- Ron DeSantis2%
- JB Pritzker1%
- Donald Trump Jr.1%
- Thomas Massie1%
- James Talarico1%
- Elon Musk<1%
- Gretchen Whitmer<1%
- Ivanka Trump<1%
- Stephen Smith<1%
- Greg Abbott<1%
- Michelle Obama<1%
- Jamie Dimon<1%
- Nikki Haley<1%
- Ro Khanna<1%
- Wes Moore<1%
- Glenn Youngkin<1%
- Tulsi Gabbard<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- Pete Hegseth<1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Eric Trump<1%
- Person BG<1%
- Person CZ<1%
- Person Q<1%
- Person AY<1%
- Person R<1%
- Person CG<1%
- Person W<1%
- Person BO<1%
- Person CK<1%
- Person Y<1%
- Person BQ<1%
- Person AD<1%
- Person AU<1%
- Person CQ<1%
- Person AE<1%
- Person AV<1%
- Person AF<1%
- Person AW<1%
- Person CR<1%
- Person AG<1%
- Person AX<1%
- Person BV<1%
- Person AH<1%
- Person BW<1%
- Person AK<1%
- Person AZ<1%
- Person BY<1%
- Person AM<1%
- Person AO<1%
- Person AS<1%
- Person AT<1%
- Person BD<1%
- Person BE<1%
- Person CC<1%
- Person BK<1%
- Person CF<1%
- Person CI<1%
- Person P<1%
- Person AA<1%
- Person BI<1%
- Person BS<1%
- Person DA<1%
- Person AB<1%
- Person BL<1%
- Person BT<1%
- Person CH<1%
- Person CO<1%
- Person X<1%
- Person BP<1%
- Person Z<1%
- Person CN<1%
- Person AC<1%
- Person AJ<1%
- Person BM<1%
- Person BU<1%
- Person CP<1%
- Person CT<1%
- Person AL<1%
- Person BZ<1%
- Person CU<1%
- Person AQ<1%
- Person V<1%
- Person CX<1%
- Person BH<1%
- Person T<1%
- Person BF<1%
- Person CE<1%
- Person DB<1%
- Person S<1%
- Person BJ<1%
- Other<1%
- Person CL<1%
- Person AR<1%
- Person BR<1%
- Person CM<1%
- Person AI<1%
- Person BX<1%
- Person CS<1%
- Person AN<1%
- Person BA<1%
- Person U<1%
- Person BC<1%
- Person CB<1%
- Person CW<1%
- Person CD<1%
- Person CY<1%
- Person AP<1%
- Person BB<1%
- Person CA<1%
- Person CV<1%
- Person BN<1%
- Person CJ<1%
Probability over time
About this market
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.