Polymarket·Brazil
Brazil Presidential Election
Current top probability
44%
Flávio Bolsonaro
All outcomes
- Flávio Bolsonaro44%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva37%
- Renan Santos6%
- Romeu Zema5%
- Camilo Santana4%
- Fernando Haddad3%
- Ronaldo Caiado1%
- Jair Bolsonaro<1%
- Geraldo Alckmin<1%
- Michelle Bolsonaro<1%
- Eduardo Bolsonaro<1%
- Tarcisio de Freitas<1%
- Ratinho Júnior<1%
- Eduardo Leite<1%
- Aldo Rebelo<1%
- Person K<1%
- Person L<1%
- Person M<1%
- Person N<1%
- Person O<1%
- Person P<1%
- Person Q<1%
- Person R<1%
- Person S<1%
- Person T<1%
- Person U<1%
- Person W<1%
- Person Y<1%
- Person V<1%
- Person X<1%
- Person Z<1%
- Other<1%
Probability over time
About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).