Polymarket·Brazil
Brazil Presidential Election
Current top probability
46%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
All outcomes
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva46%
- Flávio Bolsonaro24%
- Renan Santos13%
- Romeu Zema5%
- Michelle Bolsonaro4%
- Fernando Haddad4%
- Camilo Santana2%
- Ronaldo Caiado1%
- Jair Bolsonaro<1%
- Geraldo Alckmin<1%
- Tereza Cristina<1%
- Tarcisio de Freitas<1%
- Eduardo Bolsonaro<1%
- Ratinho Júnior<1%
- Eduardo Leite<1%
- Aldo Rebelo<1%
- Helder Barbalho<1%
- Person M<1%
- Person N<1%
- Person O<1%
- Person P<1%
- Person Q<1%
- Person R<1%
- Person S<1%
- Person T<1%
- Person U<1%
- Person W<1%
- Person Y<1%
- Person V<1%
- Person X<1%
- Person Z<1%
- Other<1%
About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).