Jun 20, 2026Edition № 81
Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2MPolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6MPolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7MKalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99KKalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76KKalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29KKalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11KKalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9KPolymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2MPolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6MPolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7MKalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99KKalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76KKalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29KKalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11KKalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9K
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Kalshi·Politics

Who will Trump pardon?

Current top probability

55%

Torence Hatch

All outcomes

  • Torence Hatch
    55%
  • Donald Trump Jr.
    50%
  • Donald Trump
    48%
  • JD Vance
    48%
  • Scott Bessent
    47%
  • Keonne Rodriguez
    44%
  • Barron Trump
    43%
  • Steve Bannon
    43%
  • Pete Hegseth
    43%
  • Jared Kushner
    42%
  • Susie Wiles
    41%
  • Ghislaine Maxwell
    39%
  • Edward Snowden
    39%
  • Prakazrel Michel
    39%
  • Bill Hwang
    38%
  • Elizabeth Holmes
    38%
  • Marco Rubio
    38%
  • Elon Musk
    38%
  • Pam Bondi
    36%
  • Robin Smith
    34%
  • Bob Menendez
    30%
  • Tim Leissner
    30%
  • Eric Adams
    29%
  • Derek Chauvin
    28%
  • Sam Bankman-Fried
    27%
  • Pete Rose
    25%
  • Julian Assange
    24%
  • Do Kwon
    24%
  • Larry Householder
    23%
  • Joseph Maldonado
    23%
  • Jho Low
    23%
  • Kisean Anderson
    22%
  • Martin Shkreli
    22%
  • Justin Sun
    21%
  • Joe Giudice
    19%
  • Tou Thao
    18%
  • Sean Combs
    17%
  • Leon Stanton
    17%
  • Daniel Hale
    16%
  • Matt Borges
    14%
  • Brian Cole Jr.
    14%
  • Jose Muyet
    13%
  • Jeffery Williams
    13%
  • DeAndre Way
    13%
  • Safaree Samuels
    13%
  • Roger Ver
    12%
  • Alex Mashinsky
    12%
  • Ty Garbin
    11%
  • Sebastian Telfair
    8%
  • Hunter Biden
    5%

About this market

Before Jan 21, 2029

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