Aug 5, 2026Edition № 127
Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2MPolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6MPolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7MKalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99KKalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76KKalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29KKalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11KKalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9KPolymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2MPolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6MPolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7MKalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99KKalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76KKalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29KKalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11KKalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9K
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Kalshi·Politics

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

Current top probability

46%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

All outcomes

  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy
    46%
  • Elon Musk
    33%
  • Taylor Swift
    23%
  • Xi Jinping
    17%
  • Jensen Huang
    10%
  • Sam Altman
    8%

About this market

For the 2020s

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