Aug 5, 2026Edition № 127
Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2MPolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6MPolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7MKalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99KKalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76KKalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29KKalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11KKalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9KPolymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2MPolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6MPolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7MKalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99KKalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76KKalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29KKalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11KKalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9K
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Kalshi·Politics

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Current top probability

49%

Before Jan 1, 2030

All outcomes

  • Before Jan 1, 2030
    49%
  • Before Jan 1, 2029
    46%
  • Before Jan 1, 2028
    27%
  • Before Jan 1, 2027
    17%
  • Before Jul 1, 2026
    2%

About this market

Taiwan Travel Advisory

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