Saturday, June 20, 2026Jun 20, 2026Independent prediction market intelligence/Edition № 81

Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2M PolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6M PolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2M PolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8M PolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7M Kalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99K KalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76K KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29K KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11K KalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9K Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2M PolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6M PolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2M PolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8M PolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7M Kalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99K KalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76K KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29K KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11K KalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9K

Kalshi·Entertainment

Who will perform the next James Bond theme?

Current top probability

41%

Olivia Dean

All outcomes

Olivia Dean
41%
Raye
25%
Dua Lipa
22%
Lana Del Rey
12%
Oasis
12%
Lorde
9%
The Weeknd
8%
Lady Gaga
7%
Ariana Grande
7%
Ed Sheeran
7%
Chappell Roan
7%
Beyonce
6%
Taylor Swift
4%
Miley Cyrus
4%
SZA
<1%
Sam Fender
<1%
Harry Styles
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
U2
<1%
Elton John
<1%
Lewis Capaldi
<1%
Sabrina Carpenter
<1%

About this market

Before 2035