May 5, 2026Edition № 35
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Kalshi·Elections

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Current top probability

29%

Andy Burnham

All outcomes

  • Andy Burnham
    29%
  • Angela Rayner
    25%
  • Wes Streeting
    11%
  • Darren Jones
    7%
  • Nigel Farage
    7%
  • Yvette Cooper
    4%
  • Ed Miliband
    4%
  • Rupert Lowe
    3%
  • David Lammy
    3%
  • Kemi Badenoch
    2%
  • Shabana Mahmood
    2%
  • Al Carns
    2%
  • Lucy Powell
    1%
  • Andrew Tate
    <1%
  • Rachel Reeves
    <1%
  • Ed Davey
    <1%
  • Boris Johnson
    <1%
  • James Cleverly
    <1%
  • Robert Jenrick
    <1%
  • Bridget Phillipson
    <1%

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%8:55 AM12:11 PM
Andy Burnham probability over 4 snapshots+2.0pp

About this market

Before 2030