May 5, 2026Edition № 35
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Kalshi·Politics

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Current top probability

34%

Before January 21, 2029

All outcomes

  • Before January 21, 2029
    34%
  • Before 2027
    9%
  • Before April 2026
    <1%

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%8:55 AM12:11 PM
Before January 21, 2029 probability over 4 snapshots-1.0pp

About this market

During Trump's term