Tuesday, May 5, 2026May 5, 2026Independent prediction market intelligence/Edition № 35

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Kalshi·Politics

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

Current top probability

81%

$0 / No Acquisition

All outcomes

$0 / No Acquisition
81%
$600 billion to $899 billion
5%
$100 billion to $299 billion
4%
$300 billion to $599 billion
3%
$10 billion to $99 billion
3%
$1 billion to $9 billion
2%
$900 billion to $1199 billion
2%
$1.2 trillion or more
2%

Probability over time

$0 / No Acquisition probability over 4 snapshots+1.0pp

About this market

During Trump's term