May 5, 2026Edition № 35
Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 17%$6.6MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketIran closes its airspace by...?44%$2.9MPolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 202826%$2.2MPolymarketBitcoin above ___ on May 5?>99%$2.0MPolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849%$1.9MPolymarket2026 NBA Champion60%$1.8MPolymarketNext French Presidential Election24%$1.8MPolymarketEurovision Winner 202635%$1.7MPolymarketElon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?91%$1.6MPolymarketWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?>99%$1.4MPolymarketLakers vs. Thunder68%$1.3MPolymarketUS x Iran permanent peace deal by...?63%$1.2MPolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?70%$1.2MPolymarketLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs>99%$1.1MPolymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 17%$6.6MPolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8MPolymarketIran closes its airspace by...?44%$2.9MPolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 202826%$2.2MPolymarketBitcoin above ___ on May 5?>99%$2.0MPolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849%$1.9MPolymarket2026 NBA Champion60%$1.8MPolymarketNext French Presidential Election24%$1.8MPolymarketEurovision Winner 202635%$1.7MPolymarketElon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?91%$1.6MPolymarketWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?>99%$1.4MPolymarketLakers vs. Thunder68%$1.3MPolymarketUS x Iran permanent peace deal by...?63%$1.2MPolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?70%$1.2MPolymarketLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs>99%$1.1M
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Kalshi·Entertainment

Who will be the next James Bond?

Current top probability

46%

Callum Turner

All outcomes

  • Callum Turner
    46%
  • Jacob Elordi
    16%
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson
    12%
  • Henry Cavill
    12%
  • Tom Holland
    8%
  • Josh O'Connor
    7%
  • Theo James
    5%
  • Idris Elba
    5%
  • James Norton
    4%
  • Damson Idris
    4%
  • Jonathan Bailey
    4%
  • Harris Dickinson
    4%
  • Aaron Pierre
    3%
  • Richard Madden
    3%
  • Regé-Jean Page
    3%
  • Cillian Murphy
    3%
  • Jack Lowden
    3%
  • Charlie Hunnam
    3%
  • Tom Hardy
    <1%
  • Scott Rose-Marsh
    <1%

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%8:55 AM12:11 PM
Callum Turner probability over 4 snapshots+0.0pp

About this market

Before 2030