Saturday, June 20, 2026Jun 20, 2026Independent prediction market intelligence/Edition № 81

Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2M PolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6M PolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2M PolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8M PolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7M Kalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99K KalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76K KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29K KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11K KalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9K Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 18%$32.2M PolymarketCavaliers vs. Knicks>99%$16.6M PolymarketAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC>99%$14.2M PolymarketWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?10%$5.8M PolymarketTrump kiss by May 31?>99%$5.7M Kalshi2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?19%$99K KalshiWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?54%$76K KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?5%$29K KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?89%$11K KalshiWhat will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?96%$9K

Kalshi·Entertainment

Who will be the next James Bond?

Current top probability

39%

Callum Turner

All outcomes

Callum Turner
39%
Jacob Elordi
16%
Tom Francis
12%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
9%
Harris Dickinson
9%
Josh O'Connor
9%
Jack Lowden
7%
Henry Cavill
6%
Aaron Pierre
5%
Jonathan Bailey
5%
Damson Idris
4%
Richard Madden
4%
Idris Elba
4%
Tom Holland
4%
James Norton
3%
Theo James
3%
Nicholas Hoult
3%
Henry Ashton
3%
Regé-Jean Page
2%
Charlie Hunnam
2%
Scott Rose-Marsh
2%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Cillian Murphy
<1%

About this market

Before 2030